Danger! Beware a Digital Chasm, Swallowing the Unaware

Danger! Beware a Digital Chasm, Swallowing the Unaware

Bill Lewis 13/12/2017 13

This is a red flag warning for those who think digital technology is something the IT department does! It is not; today digital technology is the purview of Boards and Senior Executives.






Do you sometimes get the feeling that you are being bombarded by news of the next great wave of technology, or the next “big thing”? I am very selective regarding content streaming into my Inbox and keep regular briefings to a few selected blogs and news sites. This week my Inbox is being hit by crypto currency and blockchain, next week it will be something else, as short while back it was AI; but I guess that is now old hat.


With all this noise, it is instructive – in fact necessary - to take a helicopter view of what is really happening – because, while individual technologies and developments are massively important, and are likely to be directly relevant to you – one does not grasp the phenomenal scale and rate of change until you look at the overall digital landscape that is opening in front of us. Specifically, Non Executive Directors and Boards need this kind of perspective to increase their awareness and align their company’s strategy with future digital technology opportunities.



Let’s Start with a Quick Snapshot



By 2020 we will see massive growth:

From 3bn ↑ 4.2 bn users (52% penetration)

From 16bn ↑ 26bn devices

From 5 bn ↑ 12bn machine to machine

Connections 1.9x ↑ faster  

Delivering 2.9x more data at ↑ <300k  Pb pm

Mobile data will grow faster ↑ 7x

Wearable from 96m ↑ 600m


Over the next four years, we will see massive growth in all aspects of Internet use. The number of users will increase to over 4.2 billion – up from 3bn in 2015/2016. 26 billion devices will be connected to the Internet – up from 16billion, of these 12 billion will be machines (or autonomous devices) talking to machines - compared with 5 billion just 18 months ago.



For those connected to the internet, speeds will be markedly faster – on average, almost 2 times faster at over 50 megabit per second.


The increased number of users, extended network coverage, and faster speeds will generate almost three times the amount of data than today – reaching 300,000 petabytes per month.  To understand what that means – 300,000 petabytes is equivalent to the functional memory of 240 million human beings, or 1.2 million libraries, each the size of the US library of congress - the largest library in the world with 162 million items in its collection.



Data generated by mobiles will grow the fastest to over seven times today’s volume at 50,000 Petabytes.


We will become a population using wearables –– from smart watches to smart glasses to fitness straps to implanted devices. Wearables will see a six fold increase to 600 million users.


Takeaway 1:
 The increase in the domination of the Internet in our lives will be at a scale far larger than today – and an inescapable part of every business process, sliver of information, reorganisation, and your customer relationships.



Is there a Digital Chasm opening before you?



TODAY, change is happening at an alarming and unprecedented pace, and this pace will only accelerate.  For the unaware, there is a Digital Chasm Opening Before You.


What is happening?


Computing power, new engineering concepts, the reach of the Internet, network capacity, and the proliferation of devices are all increasing exponentially, and innovative engineers and companies are changing the rules of business on a daily basis.  Disruption is at every turn.


The digital world is vast and subject matter ranges from the familiar – the role if the smart phone you own – to the esoteric – such as quantum computing and neural networks.



Takeaway 2: Today, it is imperative that Directors and Boards have a level of digital literacy align their company’s strategy to future digital opportunities.


To help this process, I want to start by visiting some familiar and some unfamiliar examples (in a separate post I will cover other subjects that provide strategic context).



Commonplace Observations



I will start with some observations that have become commonplace.



Let’s consider these frequently quoted cases:



a. An on line bookseller has become the worlds third largest retailer


b. The world’s biggest hotel chain owns no property


c. The worlds largest taxi company owns no vehicles


d. The worlds largest content provider creates no content


And of course, these businesses are Amazon, Uber, Airbnb, and Facebook.


While these are familiar example of businesses in the digital age, there are thousands more companies that are creating new business models and changing the business landscape.   


Just going back to the descriptions I used  – I would invite you challenge the notion that these companies are indeed a retailer, a hotel chain, a taxi company and a content provider.  They are not – they are (global) platforms that all do one thing … and do it very well, very fast, and very conveniently for the customer.


While these descriptions (“a retailer, a taxi company, etc.”) are convenient classifications that play easily into copywriters’ script, the core attribute of each of these companies is that they connect people: 


a. Amazon CONNECTS people with retailers.


b. Airbnb CONNECTS people with accommodations providers.


c. Uber CONNECTS people with taxi owners / companies


d. Facebook CONNECTS people with other people who have content to share


You may feel that this is an obvious comment – but reflect on it.


These massively successful companies, and others like them across countless industry sectors, and across the world, are based on the foundation of CONNECTING people. In the current world that we live in “Connections” is what matters, connections that create value.   


It’s not about how cheap you can be, or how fast you can get there, it’s about how you connect with people, and connect people with other people, and connect people with information to enable them to be informed and make autonomous decisions, that matter to them.



Not about how cheap you can be, or how fast.....It's about how you connect with people, connect people with other people, and people with information....that creates value for them.   


When you’re in business you have a choice.  You can create a commodity, or you can create a connection.


As we will see, a business that provides connections to a universe of loyal followers – and a business that resides at the centre of a users digital ecosystem – can connect that unique user with more products and services – increasing value further – and in the process, disrupt existing industries.


Takeaway 3:  
Boards, Directors determining future strategy, need to carry this lesson into how they build our future digital strategies.



Is there more to come?



With all the hype about the digital revolution and the highly publicized case studies which we have just mentioned and when we hear about:



a. Autonomous Vehicles,


b. Drones, BOTS,


c. Holographic Lens, and virtual reality, being backed up by


d. Artificial Intelligence Big Data and Deep Learning



One could be forgiven for thinking that we are already so far into the new digital world that there is not too much more to worry about.


Such a view would be an extremely misguided and the reality is that the digital revolution has barely started, and so has the accompanying upheaval.  


We are witnessing the very visible tip of a massive iceberg.  


Over the next three to five years much, much more will change – almost to the point of having to suspend rational thought.

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  • Kyle Mitchell

    Very informative, thank you !!!!

  • Bill Lewis

    In reply to: Kyle Mitchell

    Kyle, thank you so much for your kind comment. I will do my best to contribute more quality content. Bill

  • Oliver White

    I still think that Artificial Intelligence is the biggest thing in the future. When it surpasses human's intelegence...then nothing matters for humankind anymore.

  • Bill Lewis

    In reply to: Oliver White

    Oliver. In many respects you are right; but we should not forget the massive developments in compute capacity and speed that will enable what you envisage. (see my blog here for the next developments in this area https://goo.gl/8HZo4h)

  • Paul Mendham

    Well written and well said! Can you imagine if every corporate in big companies has the same level of knowledge and understanding? We'd probably be building machines that can warp through space in a couple of years.

  • Bill Lewis

    In reply to: Paul Mendham

    Paul, thanks for your kind remark.

  • Michael Hartman

    Simply great

  • Ishfaq Rather

    I cannot even imagine how our kids will be utilizing technology when they leave school five years from now. It's overwhelming at times and scary.

  • Bill Lewis

    In reply to: Ishfaq Rather

    Yes. KIds born with technology at their fingertips.

  • Howard Ackerman

    Indeed, the most successful tech companies are not the cheapest nor the fastest, but the ones that connect the most with people

  • Bill Lewis

    In reply to: Howard Ackerman

    Howard, good point. May I add to your comment "...... connect the most with people, with relevant, timely and valuable (not snow, spam, or digital detritus) communication."

  • Thomas Richardson

    I can't wait to experience the latest tech breakthroughs. 2020 will be the beginning of something very exciting

  • Bill Lewis

    In reply to: Thomas Richardson

    Thomas, thanks for your comment. I believe that we have not really grasped the enormity of change that is coming. I recently wrote a blog on Quantum Computing (https://goo.gl/8HZo4h) and this is going to take us to a whole new realm you might be interested in reading..

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Bill Lewis

Innovation Guru

Bill Lewis is a sought after Board advisor and counsel; he is also a renowned entrepreneur, technologist and workshop speaker. An experienced Corporate Executive and Non Executive Director advising Fortune 200 companies, Bill has served on the Boards of five companies, including the Global Board of a major system integrator. A prolific writer on technology, the digital age and entrepreneurship, he is the author of three acclaimed books: Midas and 1000 Cows, 100 Mistakes of a Start Up CEO, and 25 Kickass Lessons for the Budding Entrepreneur and numerous blogs and articles. 

   

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