What Does Life Expectancy Have to do with Business Longevity?

What Does Life Expectancy Have to do with Business Longevity?

Daniel Burrus 06/04/2023 1
What Does Life Expectancy Have to do with Business Longevity?

Every year and in every way, I try to help create more Anticipatory Leaders and individuals working at Anticipatory Organizations as opposed to reactionary ones who quickly miss opportunities that are in plain sight.

The major cornerstone to an Anticipatory mindset is my Hard Trend Methodology, where we discern between Hard Trend future certainties that are based on future facts that will happen and Soft Trends that are open to influence. This effort lets you see disruption before it disrupts and solve problems before they occur, turning disruption into a choice.

Highlighting the three categories of my Hard Trend Methodology — technology, government regulations, and demographics — one of them is a constant that all organizations in every industry should be paying as much mind to as possible: demographics.

In a recent episode of my “Opportunity Hour: Conversations with the Masters,” I invited Dr. Ken Dychtwald to speak on the subject of the Baby Boomer age wave. Dr. Dychtwald is North America’s foremost visionary and original thinker regarding the lifestyle, marketing, healthcare, economic, and workforce implications of the Baby Boomer Generation. 

Ken is a psychologist, a gerontologist, the CEO of Age Wave, and bestselling author of 19 books on age-related issues, including his most recent memoir Radical Curiosity: One Man’s Search for Cosmic Magic and a Purposeful Life. Additionally, he is the creative producer and host of the PBS documentary The Boomer Century and his new PBS special Life’s Third Age.

Understanding the Global Age Wave as a Hard Trend

According to Dr. Dychtwald’s research at Age Wave, at the beginning of the 20th century, the average life expectancy was merely 47 years old. The century before, the average life expectancy was even less, ringing in at around 35. 

Now, thanks to the many breakthroughs in the last century or so, including improvements in antibiotics, public health efforts, refrigeration of pharmaceuticals, and exponential self-care, life expectancy has skyrocketed! For many, living to 80, 90, or maybe even more years is a very real possibility. The evidence is clear, as nearly one billion people in the world are currently over the age of 60 and that number is expected to double in the next 20 years.

This has never happened before, and the result is that many societal developments, products, services, and other offerings are not catering to the needs of aging individuals. From automobiles designed to match the form and fit of 20-year-old individuals to our medical system targeting only helping younger individuals too, we have not matched our healthspan to our lifespan.

But aging itself is a Hard Trend. Chronologically, all generations will get older. Right now, the Silent Generation and Baby Boomer Generation are the ones validating this future certainty. Dr. Dychtwald is starting to notice that the whole look and feel of life is moving around and people are now beginning to contemplate living much longer. So how are business, marketing, products, services, and offerings evolving with them?

Changing the Soft Trend

Dozens of questions surround the Soft Trend side of the global age wave, and answers to those help businesses and organizations identify the boundless opportunity that this wave has for everyone. 

Dr. Dychtwald identifies a few Soft Trend questions that Anticipatory entrepreneurs should be asking. In what way are people aging? How do people want to grow older? And what might we need to learn? Dr. Dychtwald encourages people to continually reinspire and reinvent themselves, as do I!

Whether this means individuals are learning new hobbies, starting business later in life, or continuing to serve their community on a volunteer basis, in doing so, we as a society match lifespan with healthspan, and the needs of all generations evolve.

So in light of this, what are some problems we can see that we could pre-solve, as well as what are the opportunities that we can see right now for the Silent Generation and Baby Boomers, or even Gen X and Millennials, as they approach their 40s, 50s, 60s, and beyond?

Constant Business Opportunity in Longevity

Knowing that longevity is truly a Hard Trend thanks to medical and technological developments, transforming business operations and offerings to suit the needs of a population that will continuously age while maintaining their faculties and physical abilities more and more is necessary.

For example, if you are a retailer and your primary customer is older versus younger, perhaps your store layout should include more places to sit, nicer bathrooms, and accommodations that suit the needs of the age wave. But let’s also flip the script here for those with a younger customer base and think in a deeply Anticipatory way. If we know aging is a Hard Trend future certainty, how will you evolve with the younger generation you cater to as they age?

Now, at the moment, the Baby Boomer Generation is our focus, and outside of their needs, one important characteristic to note is that they are not as frugal as their predecessors and many of them hold quite a bit of wealth as opposed to younger generations.

Coupled with that, the stigma that older generations are set in their ways is fading fast. Based on Dr. Dychtwald’s research with Age Wave, people are trying new things. People are falling in love at 50, they’re going to the gym for the first time at 60, and even dreaming up new ideas, as evidenced in the highest rate of successful entrepreneurialism in the world being individuals over the age of 55!

If you are a marketer and you are still stuck believing it is youth that all generations chase, or that people over 50 are somehow not worth your attention, you are losing what could be millions upon millions of dollars in opportunity. People over 50 have more money to spend on health, travel, home renovation, gifts, automobiles, and more.

They are an extremely valuable potential consumer base, and they’re hiding in plain sight for the right Anticipatory entrepreneur to serve with significant products, services, or enrichment opportunities that cater to them.

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  • Rochelle Forster

    so true. I find that many of my clients still think about retirement the way "their parents" may have. As a retirement planner, I am always trying to help them be their best selves and fulfill their goals and dreams. Personally, my husband and I have started to take the entire winter months and spend them in a warm climate overseas. It has been amazing! My husband considers himself semi-retired and I just lug my computer and work gear with him and designate some "work periods" so clients can set up times to talk.

    We have done Costa Rica, Panama, Argentina and are headed to Australia next winter. Now try to find a guide book or internet site that caters to that - none really; or they are for the "young" traveler on a very strict budget. We have one but we do not want to "rough" it. Although my husband has taken up birding and we have gone to campsites to see remote birds or nature. We love adventure. So here's to all of the Boomer's that continue to make changes (we were the first to have 401k accounts). Rochelle F.

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Daniel Burrus

Innovation Expert

Daniel Burrus is considered one of the world’s leading futurists on global trends and innovation. The New York Times has referred to him as one of the top three business gurus in the highest demand as a speaker. He is a strategic advisor to executives from Fortune 500 companies, helping them to accelerate innovation and results by develop game-changing strategies based on his proven methodologies for capitalizing on technology innovations and their future impact. His client list includes companies such as Microsoft, GE, American Express, Google, Deloitte, Procter & Gamble, Honda, and IBM. He is the author of seven books, including The New York Times and Wall Street Journal best-seller Flash Foresight, and his latest book The Anticipatory Organization. He is a featured writer with millions of monthly readers on the topics of innovation, change and the future and has appeared in Harvard Business Review, Wired, CNBC, and Huffington Post to name a few. He has been the featured subject of several PBS television specials and has appeared on programs such as CNN, Fox Business, and Bloomberg, and is quoted in a variety of publications, including The Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Fortune, and Forbes. He has founded six businesses, four of which were national leaders in the United States in the first year. He is the CEO of Burrus Research, a research and consulting firm that monitors global advancements in technology driven trends to help clients profit from technological, social and business forces that are converging to create enormous, untapped opportunities. In 1983 he became the first and only futurist to accurately identify the twenty technologies that would become the driving force of business and economic change for decades to come. He also linked exponential computing advances to economic value creation. His specialties are technology-driven trends, strategic innovation, strategic advising and planning, business keynote presentations.

   
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