Ten Megatrends for 2020
Recently, I wrote a tribute to the late Futurist Alvin Toffler, who passed away last week at age 87. In many respects, he is considered the father of business futurism, and his notions (along with others such Michael Naisbitt and Faith Popcorn) helped to lay out the big trends that tend to influence events over decades.
- 13/10/2018
- 5
Singularity Politics, or When AIs Grow Up
A General Artificial Intelligence is one that has achieved sentience. Sentience means, in effect, that it is aware of itself, is capable of multiple levels of recursive abstraction, and in general will not be programmed so much as taught. Arguably, a GAI is a specialized AI that can feel existential angst.
- 13/10/2018
- 6
Surviving the 4th Industrial Era
Suppose that jobs went away. Not all jobs, mind you, but many, perhaps upwards of 90%. Some of those are in hard-manual labor territory, like coal mining. Some are in the services industry such as driving a taxi. Some are in high tech, like programming. Not a few will be in areas such as sales and management, politics or journalism. What happens next?
- 05/07/2018
- 4
Bully Culture
In the couple of years since the election of 2016 there have been thousands of articles about the big cultural shift towards the empowered Heartland workers, the agrarian salt of the earth types, the good Christian, the coal miner. These visual essays as often as not are cinematically wrapped in sweeping panoramic vistas of golden waves of corn, purple mountains majesty, stallions rearing and bald eagles soaring.
- 13/06/2018
- 4
Artificial Intelligence Isn’t the Problem … Greed Is
Make this simple. The issue about the future of work is not about robots (or artificial intelligences) replacing human beings. It is about income security. Most people, when pressed, would be perfectly happy to not have to wake up every day, spend an hour on the road each way fighting traffic, deal with office politics or rude people or insane deadlines.
- 12/06/2018
- 5
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