Colin is an investment writer and television presenter specialising in macroeconomics and the financial markets. He is the founder of "In the Long Run", an alternative investment consultancy in 2010 advising hedge funds on sales, marketing and business development. He is also a member of the advisory committee of Asia Alternative Investments Network. Colin holds prestigious qualifications from Columbia University in the City of New York, Yale University and the University of Michigan.
Chinese bond yields have reached their highest since October 2014. Chinese stocks have corrected despite the US market making new highs. The PBoC has introduced targeted lending to SMEs and agricultural borrowers. Meanwhile, money supply growth is below target and continues to moderate.
Stock markets have generally taken a breather during November. High yield and corporate bond yields have risen, but from record lows. Since April, the Interest Rate Swap yield curve has flattened far less than Treasuries. Global economic growth forecasts continued to be revised higher.
Rising interest rates and higher bond yields are here to stay. Real estate prices seem not to be affected by higher finance costs. Household debt continues to rise especially in advanced economies. Real estate supply remains constrained and demand continues to grow.
Green bonds have been the best performers in the Eurozone year to date. Is it a warning knell or cause for celebration? The IMF austerity is still in place, but there are hopes they will relent. Portuguese bonds have also rallied since March whilst Spanish Bonos declined. German Bund yields are up to 28 bps since January heralding an end to ECB QE.
Prime minister Shinzō Abe called a snap general election in October, amid rising geopolitical tensions. The Bank of Japan maintains quantitative and qualitative monetary easing (QQE) despite the Federal Reserve's plan to reduce its balance sheet. Japanese stocks will benefit if the ‘Three Arrows’ of Abenomics continue. In addition, wages are rising whilst inflation is stuck at zero.
BBN Times connects decision makers to you. Experts in their fields, worth listening to, are the ones who write our articles. We believe these are the real commentators of the future. We quickly and accurately deliver serious information around the world. BBN Times provides its readers human expertise to find trusted answers by providing a platform and a voice to anyone willing to know more about the latest trends. Stay tuned, the revolution has begun.
Copyright © BBN TIMES. All rights reserved.